What a day to be associated with the Tampa Bay Lightning.
First, Radim Vrbata leaves town after more or less saying that his career with the Lightning is causing him psychological distress.
Then, Barry Melrose publicly excoriates everyone from Len Barrie to Steve Stamkos. This guy is pissed about being a scapegoat, and is not afraid to say so. Furthermore he is a media professional, and therefore knows what to say if he wants to make headlines without setting off lawsuits or suspensions (Sean Avery, are you listening?).
Then, Vinny Lecavalier is forced to "lead" his team while sporting a first-class shiner on his left eye... courtesy of the notorious brawler Jochen Hecht. For the record, Hecht gave up 3 inches and 20 pounds in that matchup. He has had 4 fights in his 8 seasons, compared to Lecavalier's 18 fights in 9 seasons. Nice, Vinny.
Then, the Lightning get absolutely whipped by the Bruins. Yes, it was a 1-goal game with 17 seconds left. But the game confirmed that the Lightning are no longer a competitive team -- they looked timid, confused, psychologically broken. They are in a doormat death-spiral, when they ought to have been jostling for playoff positioning by now. If not for the Bruins' blink-of-an-eye 3-0 lead, which pretty much sucked the energy out of the contest, Boston might have won this game by 6 or 7 goals.
To top it off, goalie Mike Smith ripped his teammates after the game... offering the possibility that they might just be a "dumb team". Meanwhile, on the other side of the locker room, Rick Tocchet suggested he might dress only 8 skaters in the future. This is all eerily reminiscent of the Dallas Stars' locker-room implosion after they faced the Bruins last month... is Claude Julien using psychological warfare to crush the spirits of his opponents? Stay tuned.
What does all of this mean for the rest of us? First of all, it confirms that playoff berths must be earned, not bought. Tampa seems to have even less chemistry than last year's Sens and this year's Stars. Turns out there's a difference between building a Stanley Cup champion and casting for a bad horror flick.
But more importantly, it effectively takes the Lightning off the map for the rest of the season. It's inconceivable that, even given an entire season to try and turn things around, this team could get it together and make a run at the 8-seed. Sooooo... time to start thinking "fire sale" when you think of Tampa.
The Lightning have a slew of vets on contract for-this-year-only, including: Gary Roberts ($2.4m), Mark Recchi ($1.5m), Chris Gratton ($1.25m), Marek Malik ($1.25m), and Olie Kolzig ($2.5m). If this franchise has any common sense at all, it will unload all of the above before the trade deadline for draft picks and prospects. This would clear a large amount of cap space and allow Tampa to begin a true rebuild -- presumably with another #1 pick this summer.
But, like a star dying, a Lightning implosion/rebuild might affect the entire solar system. Roberts and Recchi could offer veteran leadership for young contenders like Boston and Chicago. Kolzig might conjure up one last run at glory for a desperate bubble team like Edmonton or New Jersey. Chris Gratton is as adept as anyone in the league at filling a jersey and collecting a paycheck, but might be willing to chip in some secondary scoring if asked nicely.
[update: Never mind about Gratton. He was placed on waivers, a pretty sure sign that he no longer carries trade value.]
Keep an eye on these guys as we get closer to the deadline... it's not like they've been afraid to pull the trigger in the past.
Tuesday, December 9, 2008
Lightning Get A Kick In The Nuts From Bruins, Melrose, Their Own Goalie
Sunday, July 20, 2008
This ain't your daddy's Lightning.
Just when you thought the Lightning had packed it in for the decade, they show why they're able to consistently rise to the top of the Southeast Division. With appealing new owners calling some pretty aggressive shots, no front office has been busier than Tampa's. Take a deep breath and look at all the movement so far as we approach the middle of July:
Add:
Oren Koules and Len Barrie, owners
Barry Melrose, Head Coach
Rick Tocchet, Wes Walz, and Cap Raeder, ass't coaches
Brian Lawton, VP of Hockey Operations (GM)
Tom Kurvers, ass't GM
Jim Hammet, dir of player personnel
Greg Malone, head pro scout
Mike Vernon, special ass't to GM/goalie mentor
C Steve Stamkos (#1 overall pick)
C Wyatt Smith (1 year)
C Zenon Konopka (2 years)
C/LW Vaclav Prospal (multi-year)
LW David Koci (1 year)
LW Gary Roberts (1 year)
RW Ryan Malone (7 years)
RW Radim Vrbata (3 years)
RW Adam Hall (3 years)
RW Mark Recchi (1 year)
RW Brandon Bochenski (2 years)
RW Matias Sointu (7th rd pick)
D Matt Carle
D Ty Wishart
D Andrew Hutchinson (2 years)
D Janne Niskala (1 year)
D Scott Jackson (3 years)
D Kevin Quick (multi-year)
D Mark Babiero (6th rd pick)
D Luke Witkowski (6th rd pick)
D David Carle (7th rd pick... yes, Matt's brother. What a coincidence!)
G Olie Kolzig (1 year)
G Dustin Tokarski (5th rd pick)
'08 4th Round pick (from SJ, turned out to be C James Wright)
'08 5th Round pick (from SJ, turned out to be RW Kyle DeCoste)
'09 1st Round pick (from SJ)
'09 3rd Round pick (from SJ)
'10 4th Round pick (from SJ)
Keep:
C Vincent Lecavalier (11 years)
C Ryan Craig (2 years)
C Chris Gratton (1 year)
RW Evgeny Artyukhin (multi-year)
D Alexandre Picard (multi-year)
G Mike Smith (2 years)
Lose:
Jay Feaster, GM
John Tortorella, head coach
Bill Barber, Dir of Player Personnel
D Dan Boyle
D Brad Lukowich
G Marc Denis
'08 3rd Round pick
'08 7th Round pick (from NAS, turned out to be G Joacim Eriksson)
'09 4th Round pick
'09 6th Round pick
'09 conditional pick
'09 or '10 conditional pick (MIN's choice)
Dizzying, isn't it? The overhaul is so thorough that we can safely discard the Lightning's '07-'08 season as any kind of indicator of their fortunes for the upcoming season. They'll be a fundamentally different team, and not a bad one at that.
The real genius in this plan, though, is that they're not sacrificing the future in order to sell tickets in the present. Of the list of draft picks they gave up, it doesn't appear the Lightning will lose a major future player. Losing Brad Boyle hurts a bit, but San Jose's first-round pick might ease the pain. And most importantly, the signing of castaways like Recchi and Roberts will only be significant for this year -- the Lightning did very well in signing surefire contributors like Lecavalier and Malone to longer contracts while limiting the tenure of declining players.
What does it all mean? It means the Lightning are now stable in goal, fairly deep at all forward positions, and loaded with grit... pretty much everything they weren't last season. This is a playoff-quality roster, which means more money in hand for the owners -- and more commitment by fans and sponsors to stick with a team which suddenly has a pretty rosy long-term outlook. There will be a bit of turnover as the short-term contracts expire and prospects rise through the ranks (though the Lightning are known for having a weak farm system). But by the time Stamkos arrives as a 22-year-old superstar and Mike Smith becomes an All-Star fixture, the Lightning will likely have maneuvered their way into "contender" status for the long-term. It's a page right out of the Detroit Red Wings Guide to Winning Every Year.
The biggest risk, of course, is that guy Melrose...
